Nicholls, G. M. (2013, June), Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student Throughput  Paper presented at 2013 ASEE Annual Conference & Exposition, Atlanta, Georgia. 10.18260/1-2--19625

\bibitem{asee_peer_19625}
  Nicholls, G. M. (2013, June), \emph{Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student Throughput}
  Paper presented at 2013 ASEE Annual Conference \& Exposition, Atlanta, Georgia.
  10.18260/1-2--19625

Gillian M. Nicholls.  "Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student Throughput".  2013 ASEE Annual Conference & Exposition, Atlanta, Georgia, 2013, June.  ASEE Conferences, 2013.  https://peer.asee.org/19625 Internet.  13 Jan, 2025

\bibitem{asee_peer_19625}
  Gillian M. Nicholls.
  "Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student Throughput".
  \emph{2013 ASEE Annual Conference \& Exposition, Atlanta, Georgia, 2013, June}.
  ASEE Conferences, 2013.
  https://peer.asee.org/19625 Internet.  13 Jan, 2025

@INPROCEEDINGS{asee_peer_19625
author = "Gillian M. Nicholls"
title = "Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student Throughput"
booktitle = "2013 ASEE Annual Conference \& Exposition"
year = "2013"
month = "June"
address = "Atlanta, Georgia"
publisher = "ASEE Conferences"
note = {https://peer.asee.org/19625}
number = {10.18260/1-2--19625}
}

TY  - CPAPER
AB  -                 Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student                                    ThroughputEngineering degree acquisition is a complex system that lacks tools for efficient management and goaloptimization. A reliable model of engineering degree acquisition will help administrators to increasethroughput and resource utilization. It will also aid engineering students in better managing theireducational investment. A method is needed to quantitatively assess the factors that predict time tograduation for engineering students; explore the potential positive effects of intervention to affect criticalfactors; and examine the costs vs. benefits of increasing engineering student throughput rates.Universities are under increasing pressure to educate engineering students more effectively so thatstudents are likely to graduate within four years. Changes in student course-taking patterns and degreerequirements have led to a lengthening of the time to graduation for typical engineering students. Thisreduces the number of students that can be effectively educated in a four year period of time andconsumes additional resources in course enrollments, faculty time, and support staff labor. Given tuitioncosts that have risen at a rate exceeding the rate of inflation, the trends have undesirable results for bothuniversities and students.This paper discusses the development of a research design to model student progression throughengineering degree acquisition as a complex system. Elements will include transition probabilities,identifying critical factors, predicting time to graduation, estimating costs and benefits of potentialinterventions targeting the critical factors, and projecting the resulting throughput of engineers earningbachelor’s degrees. The main goal of the research is to achieve actionable, applicable, and accuratedecision modeling of a student’s progress through an engineering degree program and a university’sresulting throughput rate to provide strategic and financial decision-making tools for both students andadministrators. The longer term goal of the research is to increase STEM student persistence rates andimprove STEM throughput.
AU  - Gillian M. Nicholls
CY  - Atlanta, Georgia
DA  - 2013/06/23
PB  - ASEE Conferences
TI  - Formulating Predictive Models of Engineering Student Throughput
UR  - https://peer.asee.org/19625
DO  - 10.18260/1-2--19625
ER  -