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On Time-based Exploration of Student Performance Prediction

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Conference

2023 ASEE Annual Conference & Exposition

Location

Baltimore , Maryland

Publication Date

June 25, 2023

Start Date

June 25, 2023

End Date

June 28, 2023

Conference Session

Computing and Information Technology Division (CIT) Technical Session 1

Tagged Division

Computing and Information Technology Division (CIT)

Tagged Topic

Diversity

Page Count

16

DOI

10.18260/1-2--43772

Permanent URL

https://peer.asee.org/43772

Download Count

298

Paper Authors

biography

Abdulmalek Al-Gahmi Weber State University

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Dr. Abdulmalek Al-Gahmi is an assistant professor at the School of Computing Department of Weber State University.
His teaching experience involves courses on object-oriented programming, full-stack web development, computer
graphics, algorithms and data structures, and machine learning. He holds a Ph.D. in Computer Science from New Mexico
State University, M.S. in Computer Science, M.A. in Extension Education, and B.S. in Electrical Engineering.

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biography

Kyle D. Feuz Weber State University

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Kyle Feuz is an Associate Professor at Weber State University in the School of Computing. He earned his Ph.D from Washington State University under the guidance of Dr. Diane Cook in 2014. He also received his B.S and M.S in Computer Science from Utah Stat

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biography

Yong Zhang Weber State University

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Dr. Yong Zhang is an associate professor in Computer Science at Weber State University. He received the B.E. degree and M.E. degree in Electrical Engineering from Harbin Institute of Technology, China, and the Ph.D degree in Electrical Engineering from West Virginia University, Morgantown, USA. His research interests include digital image and video processing, bioinformatics, and machine learning.

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Abstract

Predicting student performance early enough to intervene and provide help has been a longstanding topic of interest among the educational research community. Many studies have investigated making these predictions, and two main issues have been pointed out: the portability and robustness of these predictions. Learning Management Systems (LMS) and other tools used by courses today capture extensive amounts of information about student performance that is helpful not only in improving earlier attempts at these predictions, but also in taking them further. This is a work-in-progress study that looks at ways to accurately predict student performance based on the LMS data collected from 274 lower-division Computer Science courses taken by 2,656 students and taught by 37 instructors in various formats (face-to-face, online, virtual, hybrid) over a period of three years in a public four-year university. It uses a time-based approach that looks at the data as a set of sequences or time series, each representing the progress of a student both within a single course and across multiple courses. It tracks the progress of students within the three-year period as they go through the lower-division CS program and get their associate degrees. With courses being different from one another, we explore ways for “normalizing” the data in order to consider the whole learning journey of students across courses. The study explores questions such as: How does the progress of struggling students differ from one course to another across various formats? How early can student performance within these courses be accurately predicted? Can the cumulative progress of students at the end of the program be predicted? Are student journeys through courses unique? Are there patterns that transcend students and courses? How robust and portable are these predictions?

Al-Gahmi, A., & Feuz, K. D., & Zhang, Y. (2023, June), On Time-based Exploration of Student Performance Prediction Paper presented at 2023 ASEE Annual Conference & Exposition, Baltimore , Maryland. 10.18260/1-2--43772

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